It should be said right now, that in the democratic primary, winning states is actually pretty moot.  What actually matters is that the delegates.  Margin of Victory is the only key, because every single primary splits the delegates.  Not so on the republican "winner-take-all" side.   Watching the numbers, it looks like delegates aren't swinging very far away from 50-50 right now. 

To be honest, big swings aren't likely to happen on the Dems side.  The media make a big deal about calling states, because in electoral college, that actually matters. (another reason the electoral college is dumb)  But in the confines of splitting delegates, weird things like "how many people voted for each candidate" actually matter. 

In other news... my pick of STRAIGHT GRAVEL TICKET seems to be doing... poorly.  At best.